Jelec, the White Bear

Beware an Encounter with a Raven and his Friends

Month: December, 2011

How Robin Redbreast Stopped Worrying about Counting her Eggs

Black raven in a field of white snow.

or, The Power of Water in a Jar

One day Meldrake the Raven went calling at his friend Robin Redbreast’s house. When he arrived, Robin was very upset, and nearly didn’t let him come in. Finally, though, she did, but only after Meldrake promised to help her however he could.

“Oh Meldrake, what can I do? I’ve lost one of my eggs!” cried Robin. She was distraught, flapping her wings and fluttering around the small kitchen of her home.

“There, there, Robin. I will help you. Where was the last place you saw it?” said Meldrake. He was trying to stay calm so that Robin would be calm too. It wasn’t working.

“I don’t remember, Meldrake! I was just baking a pie here in the kitchen, and I thought the eggs would like being near the warm stove, so I brought the nest in here for a while.” Robin pointed to the large woven basket on the counter filled with straw. On top of the pile of straw lay her eggs, which were light blue with dark blue spots. “I know that I have twenty-nine eggs, and I count them at least three times a day. Sometimes I get worried about losing one of them, though, so I count them four or five or even six times. It’s very tiring.”

Meldrake agreed that it sounded very tiring.

“Let’s try retracing your steps,” said Meldrake. “I often find that I find what I’m looking for that way, and I only ever search in the places I’ve been. Obviously, we’ll start here in the kitchen,” he added.

“Yes, let’s,” Robin Redbreast agreed, starting to sound a bit calmer now that she had a friend along to help her.

And so they two, raven and robin, searched the kitchen high and low. They searched behind the icebox, and under the counter. They searched through all the baskets that hung from the ceiling, and the silverware drawer, too. Then they searched some more. After all that, though, they hadn’t found the egg.

“Where were you before you were in the kitchen?” asked Meldrake.

“I was at the dining room table having my tea,” said the robin.

“Then that’s where we’ll go,” replied Meldrake.

And so they went to the dining room, and they looked under the table. And both Meldrake and Robin were surprised to see a blue egg, sitting on the dining room floor under the table, as if nothing had happened.

“I have no idea how that got there,” said Robin.

“Well, you know those eggs. They can be tricky,” said Meldrake. “You’ll have to watch them carefully from now on.”

“But I already do!” cried Robin Redbreast. “I count the eggs at least three times a day, all twenty-nine of them. What more is a mother supposed to do?”

“It’s okay. I can show you. Do you have a large jar? One big enough to fit all the eggs, and then some?” asked Meldrake.

“Let me see,” said Robin as she dug around in her many, full cabinets. After some clanging of pots, and some clinking of dishes and cups, there emerged from the back of one dusty cupboard a jar as big as a small barrel.

“Is this big enough?” she wondered.

“I think so. Like I said, it needs to be big enough to put all of the eggs in it,” said the raven Meldrake.

“Why? I already have a container for them, with a nice soft bed of straw to boot,” replied the Robin.

“Just trust me. I’m going to show you a trick,” said the raven. “First, put a gallon of water in the jar.”

Robin Redbreast put a gallon of water in the jar.

Meldrake took a piece of charcoal from the kitchen fireplace and made a mark on the jar, right at the water’s edge.

“Okay, now put all the eggs in,” said Meldrake.

“I can’t put them in there, they won’t be able to breathe!” cried Robin, who was starting to get worried again.

“It’s alright, they won’t be in there for very long,” Meldrake assured her.

And so Robin placed her twenty-nine eggs very carefully into the jar with the water. As she did so, the water level began to rise, until the jar was almost full.

Meldrake took his piece of charcoal, and made another mark at the new level of the water.

“This is how high the water should be if you have all of your eggs,” said Meldrake. “You can still count if you want to, since it’s quicker, but with my method you can be absolutely sure you have all your eggs. Try taking one out and see.”

Robin pulled one egg from the top of the jar. The water level dipped below the second mark Meldrake had made.

“Now try putting it back in,” said the raven.

Robin Redbreast put the egg back in the jar, and the water rose back to the second mark exactly.

“This is great, Meldrake! Now instead of counting my eggs, and wondering if I made a mistake, and then counting them again and again, I can just use the water and the jar! Thank you so much!” Robin Redbreast sang in her sweetest voice.

“You’re very welcome, my good friend,” replied the raven Meldrake. “Just remember to look under the table next time; I told you those eggs can be tricky.”

[Image courtesy figgentravel under Creative Commons license.]

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Amazon Royalty Options: Which One is Best for You?

A blue web.

I: Introduction

Like many writers, I’m interested in making my work available on Amazon.com’s Kindle ebook reader. They’ve had a direct publishing option for some time now, which is called (aptly enough) “Kindle Direct Publishing.”

When you’re talking ebooks, there are a number of issues that need to be dealt with. These include, but aren’t limited to: cover design, formatting, illustrations (if any), and the like.

One of the thornier ones is the matter of pricing and royalty structures.

Deciding on a price point for your book is a very personal matter, and it’s a topic I’m still thinking a lot about as I prepare to release my own book. I’ll most likely be in the under $5 bracket. There are a few reasons why that feels like a comfortable place for me: for one thing, I’m used to buying trade paperbacks of many excellent SF&F authors for around $7.99. That’s for a nice little paperback book with black and white text, color cover, and (maybe) a few black and white images inside.

It could also be the case that a slightly lower price point will be enough to get that hypothetical “indecisive reader” to give you a chance. That’s pretty important to me, and if a couple of dollars’ difference is what gets them to buy, I’m game.

But I didn’t really come here today to talk about ebook pricing. I’m sure there are plenty of articles out there about that topic. What I’d like to talk about are the royalty options for Amazon’s Kindle Direct Publishing specifically. You, the author, can choose the royalty you’d like to receive from the sale of each ebook. There are two options: 35% and “70%”.

Why did I put “70%” in quotes? Because it isn’t exactly a 70% royalty. Or more precisely: it is a 70% royalty rate, but there are a lot of terms and conditions that you have to think about, and that might affect you in ways that aren’t clear from the outset.

After reading through the Kindle Direct pricing page 1 and doing a bit of basic math 2, I came up with a few things I think my fellow writers should be aware of when deciding on royalty options via Amazon. Keep in mind that there may be errors here. Please do read through my references and perform the relevant calculations for yourself 3.

II: 35% is the KISS Option (Keep It Simple, Stupid)

For every book you sell, Amazon pays you 35% of the list price that you set. The only condition worth noting at this royalty rate is that if your book is being offered at a discount elsewhere for promotional purposes, Amazon reserves the right to lower the price of your book to match (up to and including making it available for free). Again, this price-matching is only if your book is offered elsewhere for less. So, not a big deal, but something to be aware of.

Additionally, you must set your List Price at Amazon to be no higher than the list price in any other sales channel you use. Essentially, you just have to give Amazon the same consideration as everyone else. Unless it violates the terms of another distributor you sell through, you’re free to set your Amazon price at, say, 15% less than retail. Maybe you’d like to drive Kindle sales of your books. Maybe you like selling through Amazon because you like the way they pay you promptly or track your sales, etc. I don’t know. But you have that option.

The formula for the 35% royalty can be expressed pretty simply.

Let m = the total royalties you are paid (m is for “money”).
Let r = the royalty rate you choose (0.35 in this case).
Let p = the list price you set for your book.
Let n = the number of books you sell.

For the 35% royalty option, here’s the formula that determines your
paycheck 1.

m = r * p * n.

Pretty simple, it’s just the number of books you sell, times the list price, times the royalty rate. Very easy to understand. It doesn’t change, and you don’t have to think about it too much.

III: 70% More Money, More Problems? Maybe Not

So, 70% sounds pretty cool. I mean, after all, 70 is more than 35, right? There are some reasons why I’m a little wary, however.

The first thing to know is that if you choose the 70% royalty option, you must set your List Price at least 20% below List Price in any other sales channel. This means every other way that you sell your book, to include your own website, &c. Your 70% is now coming out of 80% of your previous price.

An example: you list your new book, The Amazing Adventures of Captain Complexity, for $2.99 on Barnes & Noble’s PubIt! Store. To qualify for the 70% royalty on Amazon, you must list it for $2.99 * 0.80, which is $2.39.

$2.39 * 0.7 is $1.67. For comparison, note that $2.99 * 0.35 is $1.05.

$1.67 is more than $1.05. Great! More money, case closed. Move on, nothing much to see here.

But there’s more. When you choose the 70% option, you must also pay a per-megabyte delivery charge for each book you sell. As of this writing, that charge is $0.15 per MB for Amazon.com (US). Let’s say that The Amazing Adventures of Captain Complexity has some nice illustrations, and that it weighs in around 1.2 MB (I looked through my own ebook library and found that this is a representative size. Feel free to plug in different numbers to suit your own needs).

Since we’ve chosen the 70% option, we now pay a per-book network delivery fee. Since our book is 1.2 MB, that totals

1.2 * 0.15 = $0.18

Here’s the formula for the 70% royalty 1.

Let m = the total royalty money you are paid.
Let r = the royalty rate you chose (0.70 here).
Let 0.8 * p = the new, lower list price you must set for your book.
Let n = the number of books you sell.
Let mb = the size of your book (in megabytes).
Let d = the “delivery charge” you pay per megabyte.

m = n * (r * ((0.8 * p) – (mb * d)))

This is a little more involved, isn’t it?

There’s more. We talked about Amazon’s price-matching policy for the 35% option above. To recap: if your book is available at a lower cost elsewhere, Amazon may lower your price to match. With the 70% option, if Amazon price-matches your book, there is another wrinkle. You are also charged for the taxes so that Amazon may offer a lower tax-inclusive price. This changes the above formula slightly.

m = n * (R * ((0.8 * p) – t – (mb * d)))

where t = the applicable local taxes (VAT in the UK, for example).

IV: Head to Head Comparison, with an Evil Word Problem

In order to understand these royalty schemes a bit better, I came up with a hypothetical situation, which is also known as a word problem. Though I didn’t always enjoy them in school, they keep turning out to be useful. Here is mine:

Let’s say that you have been wildly successful, and sold 86,428 copies of your debut novel, The Amazing Adventures of Captain Complexity, via Amazon’s Kindle Direct Publishing program. You’ve chosen a List Price of $2.99 for all of your various outlets, which include but are not limited to Amazon.com. Given the above formulas, how much money would you have earned if you’d chosen the 35% royalty? The 70%? (Note that this calculation is simpler than the reality we face, since we don’t account for any price-matching or tax charges here)

Well, the 35% option is straightforward. Remember that

m = r * p * n,

so

m = 0.35 * $2.99 * 86428.

In this case, m will be $90,446.90. Nice chunk of (pre-tax) change, I must admit.

OK, Now let’s look at the “70%” option (again, note that this hypothetical calculation is simpler than reality).

Our formula is

m = n * (r * ((0.8 * p) – (mb * d))),

yielding

m = 86428 * (0.70 * ((0.8 * $2.99) – (1.2 MB * 0.15/MB))),

where m = $133,825.12.

Even better. Remember, though, what we said about this calculation. It’s a simplified version of reality. In the real world, we’d have to ask: How many times did Amazon price-match below list? How much tax did you end up paying as a result? Did the terms and conditions of your other distributors preclude you from doing the 20% list price cut in the first place? None of those variables are accounted for here, so think of this as a ballpark figure.

To put it another way, had you chosen the 35% option, you would have received $1.05 per book (35% of $2.99). With the 70% option, you would have received $1.55 per book (this is 51.8%, not 70%).

V: Conclusions

Our simple calculations here showed that you would receive about 32% more money had you chosen the 70% royalty option. However, it’s fair to assume that this percentage would be less in real-world situations, for all the reasons noted above.

Even given all that, it’s fair to say that, on average, you will likely receive more money from the 70% option. However, the process by which that occurs will be somewhat more opaque. You will have to think a little more about what is happening with your royalties. You will have to spend a little more time checking Amazon’s terms and conditions and pricing pages to ensure that you’re staying current on the latest changes (though you’ll probably want to do this either way).

Bottom line: for most people, most of the time, the 70% option is worth it.

Footnotes:

1 https://kdp.amazon.com/self-publishing/help?topicId=A29FL26OKE7R7B

2 I used a computer algebra system called Maxima. Probably overkill for this simple work, but it’s a great program that can do Calculus, solve algebraic equations, and more: http://wxmaxima.sourceforge.net.

3 I am neither a lawyer or accountant. I’m just a random guy on the internet who can read (a little) and who has access to a calculator. So the usual comprehensive disclaimers of any and all liability should apply.

A Trail of Breadcrumbs Starts Here

I’m starting this blog to talk about my new book: Jelec, the White Bear, or, Beware an Encounter with a Raven and his Friends, which will be going on sale at Amazon (ebook only, thanks) in a few days. As you can probably guess from the title, it’s probably a “fantasy” novel (OK, it’s definitely a fantasy novel), but as I’ll talk about a bit below, there’s more than “just” fantasy in there (as if there’s any such thing as the “merely” fantastic!).

My intent is to write pretty regularly here, and on a variety of topics, so I won’t be just hawking things for people to buy (if you were concerned about that). Though of course I will be talking about fiction, writing, books, all manner of story, &c, since that is “right in my wheelhouse,” as the baseball announcers like to say.

I’ll also be rambling on a bit about mathematics and computers now and then. Nothing too strenuous, mind you. Certainly nothing that a professional math/computer type would write home to Mom about, just little things that catch my fancy from time to time having to do with some fun we can have with numbers and/or computers (“ComputerNumberFun”, we might call it).

It also just so happens that mathematics and number (as well as verse, rhyming, and other incantations) play a goodly part in my work, since I’m of the mind that there should be more said about what exactly is magic, and how one goes about doing it, or even getting to a place where one has the skill, and can do it. That doesn’t mean I want to iron out every detail about how a wish becomes a thought becomes a magical spell (variously expressed in verse or numerical calculation, depending on context) since that would ruin much of the appeal of magical worlds for me.

In conflict with that desire to explain or to know things about magic (or reality, which is stranger than magic, or which might even be a magic? dunno) is the fact that people, places and things have their own ways, and many of those ways have to do with aspects of reality that we don’t understand, that are intrinsic to those particular people, places and things. So I guess there’s that as well.

This all sounds (even to me) like I’m leaving out a lot of context, and expecting/hoping the reader will follow along. At this point, perhaps I haven’t left enough of a trail of breadcrumbs for you to follow. After all, I’ve been working on this latest novel for two years or more, and having finished the first book in the series (which is properly called Adventures from the Realm of the White Bear), and now being partway into the second, I’ve been thinking about this mix of “left/right brain”, “logic/intuition,”, or “poetry/mathematics” (“yin/yang”, anyone?), for a good long while now. So perhaps I’ll leave off talking about my own work for right now, pending further writings on the subject (and others that are hopefully of interest), and hope you’ll forgive me for running ahead a bit.

[Image courtesy http://www.flickr.com/people/davidw/]